In the aftermath of the analysis of oil prices, I analyse real crude oil price during 1968-2019 using a model which incorporates standard demand and supply factors, proxies for speculative activity, Middle East terroristic attacks crude-death-rate and Pandemics crude-death-rates. Hong Kong Flu (1968-1969) and Swine Flue (2009-2010) are the Pandemic events discussed. Generally I test which of the variables has the strongest correlation to crude oil prices over the time-frame. More specifically I address the correlation between oil prices and death tolls. Research results reinfore evidences for Middle East supremacy in global oil markets.
The correlation between crude oil price and key geopolitical events. An investigation of crude death rate of terroristic attacks and Pandemics from 1968 to 2019
Bianco, Ilaria
2020/2021
Abstract
In the aftermath of the analysis of oil prices, I analyse real crude oil price during 1968-2019 using a model which incorporates standard demand and supply factors, proxies for speculative activity, Middle East terroristic attacks crude-death-rate and Pandemics crude-death-rates. Hong Kong Flu (1968-1969) and Swine Flue (2009-2010) are the Pandemic events discussed. Generally I test which of the variables has the strongest correlation to crude oil prices over the time-frame. More specifically I address the correlation between oil prices and death tolls. Research results reinfore evidences for Middle East supremacy in global oil markets.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14247/5297